- The Rays (35-29) are -160 favorites vs the Orioles (29-37)
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (3-2), 1.45 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-4), 6.85 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Tampa Bay Rays (-160) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+135) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 35-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 40-26 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Rays | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -105 | -160 |
Orioles | +1.5 -130 | U 8 -115 | +135 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Santander | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Austin Hays | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Richie Martin | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
Robinson Chirinos | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Santander | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Austin Hays | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Richie Martin | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
Robinson Chirinos | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Anthony Santander | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
Austin Hays | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Richie Martin | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Robinson Chirinos | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Bradish | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +110 |
Jeffrey Springs | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 31-33 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.39% ROI).
- 35-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -12.52% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 4.63% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 40-26 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 10.35% ROI).
- 29-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 7.61% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -4.86% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -2.79% ROI
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has struck out 33% (85/258) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (268/581) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 51% (33 SO in 65 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of 2020 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 48% (25 SO in 52 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of last season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 95th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 9.14 (21.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OBP of .493 (73 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (44 Total Bases / 60 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .432 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of 1.226 (73 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .757 — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Rays are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Rays are 20-80 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Rays are 81-60 (.574) on the road since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Orioles are just 13-22 (.371) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Orioles are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Orioles are just 8-30 (.211) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .440 (1,267 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Rays are batting .432 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Rays have scored 363 runs in late innings since the start of last season — most in MLB.
Rays hitters have just 107 strikeouts in 589 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .297 (5,604 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Orioles have won just 51% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 574 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.03 (182.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
Rays pitchers have walked 2 of 104 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,564 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Orioles have won just 15% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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