Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:17 AM
  • The Rays (35-29) are -160 favorites vs the Orioles (29-37)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (3-2), 1.45 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (1-4), 6.85 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Tampa Bay Rays (-160) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+135) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 35-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 40-26 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +110O 8 -105-160
Orioles +1.5 -130U 8 -115+135

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 67.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.50 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 29 away games (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+6.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 26 away games (+5.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+12.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+10.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+8.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Austin Hays 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
    Richie Martin 0.5 +1350 0.5
    Robinson Chirinos 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

    Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Anthony Santander 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Austin Hays 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
    Richie Martin 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
    Robinson Chirinos 0.5 -115 0.5 -120

    Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Austin Hays 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
    Richie Martin 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
    Robinson Chirinos 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

    Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Kyle Bradish 3.5 -155 3.5 +110
    Jeffrey Springs 5.5 +110 5.5 -160
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 42 games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games (+16.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 46 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 31-33 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.39% ROI).

    • 35-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -4.59% ROI
    • 28-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -12.52% ROI
    • 34-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.3 Units / 4.63% ROI

    Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 40-26 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 10.35% ROI).

    • 29-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 7.61% ROI
    • 31-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -4.86% ROI
    • 32-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -2.79% ROI

    Jeffrey Springs has struck out 33% (85/258) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.

    Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (268/581) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

    Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 51% (33 SO in 65 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of 2020 — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

    Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 48% (25 SO in 52 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of last season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 95th Percentile.

    Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 9.14 (21.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 3.91 — first Percentile.

    Kyle Bradish has allowed an OBP of .493 (73 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .325 — 0 Percentile.

    Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .733 (44 Total Bases / 60 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .432 — 0 Percentile.

    Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of 1.226 (73 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .757 — 0 Percentile.

    Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

    The Rays are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Rays are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Rays are 20-80 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

    The Rays are 81-60 (.574) on the road since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.

    Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

    The Orioles are 14-3 (.824) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Orioles are just 13-22 (.371) on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Orioles are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Orioles are just 8-30 (.211) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

    Rays hitters have an OPS of just .440 (1,267 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

    The Rays are batting .432 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.

    The Rays have scored 363 runs in late innings since the start of last season — most in MLB.

    Rays hitters have just 107 strikeouts in 589 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .297 (5,604 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

    The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 35% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    The Orioles have won just 51% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 574 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.03 (182.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.

    Rays pitchers have walked 2 of 104 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,564 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

    The Orioles have won just 15% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Krehbiel (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Left Achilles , Day-to-Day
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

  • Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


    Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

    At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

    About the Author

    BetMGM Betting

    Read More @BETMGM

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.