Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 11:08 AM
  • The Rays (36-29) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (29-38)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (3-3), 3.50 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (0-0), 9.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Tampa Bay Rays (-155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+125) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 36-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-26 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +105O 8.5 -110-155
Orioles +1.5 -125U 8.5 -110+125

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 80.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 away games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 30 away games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Harold Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.05 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Austin Hays 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000

    Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Anthony Santander 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
    Austin Hays 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

    Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Austin Hays 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

    Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Corey Kluber 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+1.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+17.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+2.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 31-34 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.89% ROI).

    • 36-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -3.44% ROI
    • 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -10.91% ROI
    • 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 3.11% ROI

    Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 41-26 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 11.38% ROI).

    • 29-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 6.04% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.42% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -4.16% ROI

    Corey Kluber has walked 10 of 253 batters (4%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (35/110) against Corey Kluber on inside fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (27/80) against Corey Kluber this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

    Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (231/438) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

    Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .857 (30 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — third Percentile.

    Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .437 (62 Total Bases / 142 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .296 (86-for-291) against Jordan Lyles this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — seventh Percentile.

    Left-handed batters are hitting .297 (35-for-118) against Jordan Lyles this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — fifth Percentile.

    Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

    The Rays are 15-87 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

    The Rays are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    The Rays are 20-80 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.

    The Rays are 66-22 (.750) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .646.

    Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

    The Orioles are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Orioles are just 21-70 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.

    The Orioles are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

    The Orioles are 14-4 (.778) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Rays are batting .468 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.

    Rays hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,294 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

    The Rays have scored 1.62 runs per game (364/224) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.

    Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,228 of their 3,740 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Orioles have scored first in just 35% of their home games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Orioles hitters are slugging just .507 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.

    Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 583 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 121 of 2,045 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 600 of 8,382 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,573 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 62 double plays in 471 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.14 (958.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Jordan Lyles (Orioles): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.