Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2022, 12:00 PM
  • The Rays (36-29) are -155 favorites vs the Orioles (29-38)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (3-3), 3.50 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (0-0), 9.40 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Tampa Bay Rays (-155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+125) on Sunday, June 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 36-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-26 ATS.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +105O 8.5 -110-155
Orioles +1.5 -125U 8.5 -110+125

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 80.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 27 away games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 30 away games (+5.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Harold Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trey Mancini has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+11.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+11.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.05 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Trey Mancini has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+8.50 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Austin Hays 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +1000 0.5 -10000

    Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
    Anthony Santander 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
    Austin Hays 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

    Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Adley Rutschman 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
    Anthony Santander 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
    Austin Hays 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
    Cedric Mullins 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
    Jorge Mateo 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

    Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Corey Kluber 4.5 -120 4.5 -115
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 54 games (+1.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+17.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 47 games (+8.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+2.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 31-34 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.89% ROI).

    • 36-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -3.44% ROI
    • 29-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -10.91% ROI
    • 34-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 3.11% ROI

    Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 41-26 against the Run Line (+9.7 Units / 11.38% ROI).

    • 29-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 6.04% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.42% ROI
    • 32-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -4.16% ROI

    Corey Kluber has walked 10 of 253 batters (4%) this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (35/110) against Corey Kluber on inside fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 50% — second Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (27/80) against Corey Kluber this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

    Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (231/438) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

    Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .857 (30 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .363 — third Percentile.

    Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .437 (62 Total Bases / 142 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .296 (86-for-291) against Jordan Lyles this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — seventh Percentile.

    Left-handed batters are hitting .297 (35-for-118) against Jordan Lyles this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — fifth Percentile.

    Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

    The Rays are 15-87 (.147) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

    The Rays are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

    The Rays are 20-80 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .123.

    The Rays are 66-22 (.750) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .646.

    Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

    The Orioles are just 8-23 (.258) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    The Orioles are just 21-70 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.

    The Orioles are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.

    The Orioles are 14-4 (.778) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

    The Rays are batting .468 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.

    Rays hitters have an OBP of just .219 (1,294 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

    The Rays have scored 1.62 runs per game (364/224) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.

    Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,228 of their 3,740 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

    The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.

    The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Orioles have scored first in just 35% of their home games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Orioles hitters are slugging just .507 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .563.

    Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 583 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 121 of 2,045 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 600 of 8,382 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

    Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,573 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Orioles pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 62 double plays in 471 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.14 (958.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.

    Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Left Oblique, D10
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Jordan Lyles (Orioles): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Hamstring, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.