- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | FSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Saturday, June 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rays are 46-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 30-50 ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 6-7, 3.78 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 6-4, 5.49 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -102 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -118 | -115 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+16.10 Units / 179% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Zack Littell has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.05 Units / 73% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.45 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+16.50 Units / 275% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Gary Sanchez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- Zach Eflin has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 28 away games (+17.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 35 games (+15.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+15.78 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games (+8.64 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 76 games (+6.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+3.40 Units / 16% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 43-39 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 5.11% ROI).
- 46-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.98 Units / 6.88% ROI
- 33-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.05 Units / -19.78% ROI
- 46-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.35 Units / 11.6% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 30-50 against the Run Line (-23.11 Units / -22.76% ROI).
- 35-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units / -17.49% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.83 Units / -15.61% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.58 Units / 7.33% ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +110 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has a strike rate of 74% (274/369) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .233 (42-for-180) against Zack Littell with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 3% of right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .347 (60-for-173) against Zach Eflin when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (135 Total Bases / 244 ABs) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Rays are 30-3 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are 9-103 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Rays are 6-31 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .092.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 0-42 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Orioles are just 2-37 (.051) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Orioles are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Orioles are just 10-22 (.312) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rays (Ranks sixth runs allowed) today.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .352 against starting pitchers over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Rays hitters are slugging .396 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .284 (476 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (24 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Rays are batting .258 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 160 total hits (just 23%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .592 (822 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .301 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .381.
The Orioles are batting just .228 on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 75 double plays in 518 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.94 (709.1 IP) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Orioles pitchers have walked 7% of batters this month (24 games) — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents are hitting .270 against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
More MLB Reading:
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