- The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | FSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Sunday, June 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD, MD.
This season, the Rays are 47-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 30-51 ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 5-5, 4.56 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 6-7, 4.66 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -115 | -110 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -105 | -110 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+16.10 Units / 179% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 61% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+19.75 Units / 282% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jackson Holliday has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 29 away games (+18.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+16.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 27 away games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+14.73 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 62 games (+9.64 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games at home (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 44-39 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 6.17% ROI).
- 47-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.98 Units / 7.78% ROI
- 34-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -18.45% ROI
- 46-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.3 Units / 10.3% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 30-51 against the Run Line (-24.51 Units / -23.81% ROI).
- 35-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.3 Units / -18.45% ROI
- 35-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.83 Units / -14.3% ROI
- 44-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.53 Units / 6.09% ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Holliday (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ramon Urias (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley (TB) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (65/115) against Taj Bradley this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 94th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 13% (15/115) against Taj Bradley this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of .472 (60 Total Bases / 127 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (11/18) against Taj Bradley in his last start — 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 38% — 95th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (19/124) against Dean Kremer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .280 (35-for-125) against Dean Kremer’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (141/707) against Dean Kremer this season — tied for 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 14th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to May 19th — the longest active streak is 9.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 4-30 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Rays are 109-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Rays are 76-11 (.874) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Rays are 23-94 (.197) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .138.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are just 10-23 (.303) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rays (Ranks eighth runs allowed) today.
The Orioles are just 2-104 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Orioles are just 1-38 (.026) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Orioles are just 0-43 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .042.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .634 (495 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Rays hitters are slugging .422 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Rays are batting .359 against starting pitchers over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .352 (966 PA’s) this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .599 (834 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Orioles hitters have 38 extra-base hits out of 164 total hits (just 23%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .306 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .458 (1,655 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 75 double plays in 525 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers walked 445 of 6,022 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles won just 6% of the time this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.79 (219.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (362.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
More MLB Reading:
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