- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays starting pitcher: Jalen Beeks
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+100) on Wednesday, May 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+130).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 29-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 22-14 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +130 | O 9.5 -115 | -120 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | U 9.5 -105 | +100 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 35 games (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 10 away games (+14.20 Units / 142% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 away games (+10.55 Units / 96% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+8.25 Units / 75% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.70 Units / 58% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Jalen Beeks | 1.5 -145 | 1.5 +110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 37 games (+17.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 37 games (+10.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 23-14 against the Run Line (+10.3 Units / 24.64% ROI).
- 29-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.5 Units / 26.22% ROI
- 19-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 5.14% ROI
- 15-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.25 Units / -15.41% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 22-14 against the Run Line (+7.35 Units / 16.7% ROI).
- 23-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 17.94% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 9.62% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -17.04% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (133/271) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has allowed an OPS of 1.563 (16 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .695 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (50/78) against Jalen Beeks in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (34/72) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .614 (27 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .308 (44-for-143) against Dean Kremer this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — third Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .627 (32 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .345 (10-for-29) against Dean Kremer’s low curves and sliders this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .182 — fifth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 9-1 (.900) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Rays are 2-6 (.250) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rays are 6-5 (.545) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Rays are 6-3 (.667) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 24-30 (.444) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Orioles are 75-4 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Orioles are 6-7 (.462) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Orioles are 22-13 (.629) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .576 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .937 (274 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .864 (1,413 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rays hitters are slugging .517 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .154 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
The Orioles are batting just .147 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 65% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .355 (521 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Rays pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays pitchers have walked 502 of 7,291 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .098 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 117 of 1,761 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Orioles pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Forearm, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D15
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