Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 26

Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
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  • The Rays are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on May 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rays are against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are ATS.

Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Griffin Jax 1-2, 3.46 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Shane Baz 1-5, 4.77 ERA

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +145O 8.5 -102-115
Orioles +1.5 -180U 8.5 -118-105

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.50 Units / 194% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+11.95 Units / 120% ROI)
  • Richie Palacios has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Shane Baz has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+10.50 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+19.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+14.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+10.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +240
Pete Alonso +300
Gunnar Henderson +360
Jonathan Aranda +390
Taylor Ward +425

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Samuel Basallo 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Pete Alonso 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Taylor Walls 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Leody Taveras 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 7-11 (.389) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Rays are 5-13 (.278) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

The Rays are 34-17 (.667) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 8-2 (.800) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Orioles (29th runs allowed).

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 9-14 (.391) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Orioles are just 4-12 (.250) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Rays (eighth in runs allowed).

The Orioles are just 5-25 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.

The Orioles are just 21-54 (.280) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .294 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .212 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .431 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .209 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .154 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (463.0 IP) this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Rays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH this season (1,308 balls in play) — 4th best in MLB

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.95 (123.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (221.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 6.04 runs per game (157/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 4.79 (478.2 IP) this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.