Rays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 27

Baltimore Orioles' Tyler O'Neill rounds the bases after hitting a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies, Saturday, July 26, 2025, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough)
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  • The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Orioles
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The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on May 27, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Rays are 34-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 25-30 ATS.

Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Steven Matz 4-1, 3.74 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Keegan Akin 0-0, 12.28 ERA

Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +145O 9 -110-110
Orioles +1.5 -180U 9 -110-110

Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.50 Units / 161% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Blaze Alexander has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+19.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+16.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+7.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 31-21 against the Run Line (+11.7 Units / 17.36% ROI).

  • 34-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.15 Units / 26.74% ROI
  • 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.56% ROI
  • 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -7.01% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 25-30 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -8.33% ROI).

  • 25-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -13.35% ROI
  • 30-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 7.4% ROI
  • 23-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -16.43% ROI

Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Pete Alonso +275
Tyler O'Neill +333
Taylor Ward +400
Adley Rutschman +425
Gunnar Henderson +425

Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jeremiah Jackson 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Taylor Ward 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Pete Alonso 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Coby Mayo 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Taylor Ward 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Pete Alonso 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Rays are 7-12 (.368) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.

The Rays are 5-14 (.263) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Rays are 28-3 (.903) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Rays are 25-1 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Orioles are just 5-25 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Orioles are 7-2 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .640.

The Orioles are just 10-14 (.417) after a win this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Orioles are just 22-54 (.289) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .213 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .293 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for best in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .151 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .222 on the road this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .208 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .257 (474 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (221.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 6.04 runs per game (157/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.55 (132.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting .260 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.