- The Orioles are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Watch the game on FOX
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-140) on Thursday, September 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 90-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 88-57 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -110 | +115 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -110 | -140 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+9.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tyler Glasnow has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+15.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games at home (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Rene Pinto | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Rene Pinto | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Rene Pinto | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Aaron Civale | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games (+14.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 83 of their last 147 games (+10.24 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 147 games (+10.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 78 of their last 143 games (+9.90 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.03 Units / 70% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 142 games (+34.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 132 games (+27.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 63 games (+3.66 Units / 5% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 79-68 against the Run Line (+13 Units / 7.41% ROI).
- 90-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 4.39% ROI
- 79-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.7 Units / 5.35% ROI
- 64-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.8 Units / -13.56% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 88-57 against the Run Line (+26.65 Units / 14.2% ROI).
- 91-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +33.6 Units / 17.71% ROI
- 75-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.45 Units / 7.22% ROI
- 58-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.8 Units / -15.43% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Civale has thrown his cutter 45% of the time (756/1,689) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total CUT; League Avg: 18% — 97th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .151 (16-for-106) against Aaron Civale this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of just .473 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .744 — 98th Percentile.
Aaron Civale has an ERA of 2.03 (53.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 4.45 — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .631 (41 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on fastballs away this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — second Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .151 (28 Total Bases / 185 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .223 (120-for-539) against Kyle Bradish this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 84th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .345 (186 Total Bases / 539 ABs) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .403 — 90th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 16-23 (.410) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Rays are 15-5 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 10-23 (.303) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rays are just 3-9 (.250) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 24-41 (.369) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Orioles are 34-18 (.654) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Orioles are 13-5 (.722) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 53-40 (.570) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 403 of 5,410 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 173 of 2,751 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 787 of 11,340 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 184 of 2,741 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Terrin Vavra (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jason Adam (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hand, D10
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