- The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty
- Watch the game on Apple TV+
The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on Friday, September 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 91-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 88-58 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -135 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -110 | +110 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 away games (+15.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+12.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rene Pinto | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rene Pinto | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rene Pinto | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Zach Eflin | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+15.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 148 games (+11.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 84 of their last 148 games (+11.24 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.03 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 51 away games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 90 of their last 143 games (+33.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 81 of their last 133 games (+26.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 75 games (+11.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 62 games (+8.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 64 games (+4.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 80-68 against the Run Line (+14 Units / 7.9% ROI).
- 91-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 4.84% ROI
- 79-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.7 Units / 4.7% ROI
- 65-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.8 Units / -12.84% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 88-58 against the Run Line (+25.65 Units / 13.6% ROI).
- 91-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +32.3 Units / 16.91% ROI
- 75-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.45 Units / 6.55% ROI
- 59-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.8 Units / -14.7% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .188 (336 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 96th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 330 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 95th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 23 of 639 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has a strike rate of 70% (308/437) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 38 of 225 batters (17%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .453 (225 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed an OBP of .308 (419 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 59% (514/875) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 15-5 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 16-5 (.762) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 16-23 (.410) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Rays are just 11-24 (.314) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 37-27 (.578) after a road loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Orioles are 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 90-55 (.621) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 54-18 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .312 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .284 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters are slugging .511 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .456.
Rays hitters have 150 strikeouts in 446 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 186-119 (.606) against the run line (13.0% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are 33-15 (.688) against the run line (26.5% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The Orioles are 82-48 (.621) against the run line (17.0% ROI) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Orioles hitters have drawn 161 walks in 1,626 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 788 of 11,371 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 173 of 2,760 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 404 of 5,441 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have walked 184 of 2,750 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have walked 52 of 966 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 277 of 4,156 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Terrin Vavra (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jason Adam (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hand, D10
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