- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Orioles
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Watch the game on MASN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rays vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 92-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 89-59 ATS.
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | O 9 +100 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -120 | -115 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+12.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+10.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- James McCann has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Zack Littell | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -160 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 81-69 against the Run Line (+14.3 Units / 7.98% ROI).
- 92-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 4.71% ROI
- 80-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.61% ROI
- 66-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.85 Units / -12.7% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 89-59 against the Run Line (+25.15 Units / 13.11% ROI).
- 92-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +32.3 Units / 16.74% ROI
- 76-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.4 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 60-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.85 Units / -14.53% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 8 of 300 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 22 of 514 batters (4%) since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .291 (84-for-289) against Zack Littell since last season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — sixth Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .458 (222 Total Bases / 485 ABs) since last season — 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .364 — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (1,488/2,660) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has a strikeout rate of just 23% (41 SO in 177 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — sixth Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 186 of Dean Kremer’s 748 off-speed pitches out of the zone (25%) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .258 (160-for-619) against Dean Kremer this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 19th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are just 11-24 (.314) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Rays are 16-5 (.762) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 21-24 (.467) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Rays are 69-3 (.958) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 54-41 (.568) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Orioles are 30-3 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Orioles are 87-18 (.829) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Orioles are 131-7 (.949) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .870.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 150 strikeouts in 448 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .283 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays hitters are slugging .290 with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .270 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 187-120 (.605) against the run line (12.8% ROI) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Orioles are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .349.
Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Orioles are 33-15 (.688) against the run line (26.5% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 33% over the last 14 days (14 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays pitchers have walked 792 of 11,438 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 408 of 5,508 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,228 of 17,436 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .191 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have walked 185 of 2,768 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 27 of 495 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The longest HR allowed by the Orioles pitchers this season traveled 455.0 feet — — tied for 3rd shortest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Terrin Vavra (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Gregory Jones (Rays): Hamstring, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jason Adam (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Lucas Raley (Rays): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hand, D10
Bet now on Rays vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
