• The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Phillies
• Rays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Rays / Phillies TV Channel: FOX

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-110) on September 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rays are 97-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-92 ATS.

Rays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Griffin Jax 8-10, 3.53 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Rays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Richie Palacios has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+25.00 Units / 357% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jonny DeLuca has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• Victor Mesa Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Griffin Jax has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 68% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 29% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 away games (+9.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.90 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 25 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+1.75 Units / 2% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 83-74 against the Run Line (+17.5 Units / 9.08% ROI).

• 97-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.4 Units / 10.25% ROI
• 72-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.9 Units / -10.19% ROI
• 82-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 1.42% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 67-92 against the Run Line (-33.1 Units / -17.39% ROI).

• 87-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -3.2% ROI
• 74-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -6.58% ROI
• 78-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -1.68% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Rays are 39-5 (.886) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 47-19 (.712) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Phillies (16th in runs scored).

The Rays are 38-51 (.427) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 82-20 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Phillies are 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are 47-6 (.887) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Phillies are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Phillies are 15-56 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters are slugging .261 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .192 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .264 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

The Phillies are batting just .228 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have 134 extra-base hits out of 282 total hits (47%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are just 8-29 (-56.8% ROI) when underdogs this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .300 (3,059 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 17% of batters they faced (983/5,861 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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