• The Pirates are -135 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rays / Pirates TV Channel: ATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-135) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Rays are 11-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 12-7 ATS.

Rays vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 0-0, 2.12 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Bubba Chandler 0-1, 3.86 ERA

Rays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Friday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Pirates and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+8.65 Units / 216% ROI)
• Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games (+8.45 Units / 141% ROI)
• Richie Palacios has hit the Walks Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.80 Units / 130% ROI)
• Nick Fortes has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+18.45 Units / 92% ROI)
• Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.20 Units / 60% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+9.05 Units / 181% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.55 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.60 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+12.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+11.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 11-7 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 16.45% ROI).

• 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 20.05% ROI
• 12-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 38.93% ROI
• 4-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -46.87% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 12-7 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 17.55% ROI).

• 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 9.98% ROI
• 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.15 Units / 10.29% ROI
• 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -19.86% ROI

Pirates vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rays are 8-2 (.800) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rays are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Rays are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Rays are 8-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Pirates were just 1-80 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Pirates are just 14-92 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Pirates are just 15-74 (.169) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Pirates were just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .305 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends

Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .159 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .343 against LHP since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Rays pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Rays pitchers this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB.

Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends

Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (173.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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