- The Pirates are -170 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Rays / Pirates TV Channel: RATV | SNPT | ESUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-170) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Rays are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 13-7 ATS.
Rays vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 1-0, 1.13 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 3-1, 4.00 ERA
Rays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | O 7 +105 | +140 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +135 | U 7 -125 | -170 |
Rays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+7.65 Units / 153% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+18.15 Units / 91% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.20 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 40% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 11-8 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 7.39% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 14.45% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 30.94% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -39.86% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 13-7 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 23.15% ROI).
- 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 13.47% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 4.3% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -14.38% ROI
Pirates vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | +375 |
| Junior Caminero | +425 |
| Oneil Cruz | +450 |
| Marcell Ozuna | +550 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | +650 |
Pirates vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chandler Simpson | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Junior Caminero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Oneil Cruz | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Pirates vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Fraley | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Henry Davis | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Rays are 8-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .873.
The Rays are just 86-85 (.503) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rays are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Pirates are just 14-92 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Pirates were just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Pirates are 12-8 (.600) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.
Rays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB.
Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
The Pirates batted just .219 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (182.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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