Rays vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop Oneil Cruz (15) bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, Monday, June 27, 2022, in Washington.
(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
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  • The Pirates are -170 favorites vs the Rays
  • Rays vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7 Runs
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The Tampa Bay Rays (+140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-170) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Rays are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 13-7 ATS.

Rays vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 1-0, 1.13 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 3-1, 4.00 ERA

Rays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -165O 7 +105+140
Pirates -1.5 +135U 7 -125-170

Rays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+7.65 Units / 153% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+18.15 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.20 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.35 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 11-8 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 7.39% ROI).

  • 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 14.45% ROI
  • 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.45 Units / 30.94% ROI
  • 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -39.86% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 13-7 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 23.15% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 13.47% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 4.3% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -14.38% ROI

Pirates vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Brandon Lowe +375
Junior Caminero +425
Oneil Cruz +450
Marcell Ozuna +550
Ryan O'Hearn +650

Pirates vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chandler Simpson 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Junior Caminero 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ryan O'Hearn 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Oneil Cruz 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

Pirates vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jake Fraley 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Taylor Walls 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Henry Davis 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Rays are 8-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Rays are just 86-85 (.503) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rays are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Pirates are just 14-92 (.132) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Pirates were just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Pirates are 12-8 (.600) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Pirates batted just .219 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 15% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (182.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.