Rays vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 19

Pittsburgh Pirates' Spencer Horwitz rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run in the seventh inning of a baseball game against the Atlanta Braves, Friday, Sept. 26, 2025, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Colin Hubbard)
(AP Photo/Colin Hubbard)
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  • The Rays are +100 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Rays vs Pirates Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rays / Pirates TV Channel: RATV | SNPT

The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) on April 19, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Rays are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 13-8 ATS.

Rays vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 1-1, 3.96 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 1-1, 2.91 ERA

Rays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +170O 7.5 -110+100
Pirates +1.5 -210U 7.5 -110-120

Rays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.10 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nick Fortes has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.50 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Marcell Ozuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+8.90 Units / 222% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 20 games at home (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 12-8 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 10.63% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 19.6% ROI
  • 13-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 34.1% ROI
  • 5-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -43.12% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 13-8 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 18.65% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 7.1% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 8.44% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.35 Units / -18.83% ROI

Pirates vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +390
Brandon Lowe +475
Marcell Ozuna +475
Oneil Cruz +525
Jonathan Aranda +650

Pirates vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Junior Caminero 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jake Fraley 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Pirates vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Joey Bart 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Brandon Lowe 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Konnor Griffin 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.

The Rays are 8-3 (.727) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rays are 9-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Pirates were just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Pirates are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Pirates are just 7-49 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The Pirates were just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 21% of their PA’s on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .305 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — tied for best in MLB.

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .622 (3,034 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .333 on the road in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters slugged just .159 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters had an OPS of just .596 (1,843 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 3.23 (195.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers won only 14% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.