- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+105) on Monday, July 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rays vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 60-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 55-39 ATS.
Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 +100 | -125 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -160 | U 8.5 -120 | +105 |
Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 50 games (+12.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+10.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Dane Dunning | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 96 games (+13.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 96 games (+8.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 92 games (+8.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 96 games (+8.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 96 games (+4.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 86 games (+25.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+24.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 86 games (+21.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 86 games (+20.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games at home (+12.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 52-44 against the Run Line (+8.7 Units / 7.62% ROI).
- 60-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 5.65% ROI
- 52-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.6 Units / 7.16% ROI
- 40-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.1 Units / -16.27% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-39 against the Run Line (+17.55 Units / 15.19% ROI).
- 55-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 3.86% ROI
- 49-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 6.14% ROI
- 39-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.95 Units / -14.44% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .211 (74-for-351) against Shane McClanahan this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — 88th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (218/631) against Shane McClanahan this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed a slugging percentage of just .206 (22 Total Bases / 107 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 89th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .203 (227 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 86th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (33/226) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed a just .203 SLG vs right-handed batters (fourth best)– 95th Percentile and .564 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (sixth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of just .426 (67 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .742 — 97th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has a strike rate of 80% (206/258) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 69% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Rays are 14-12 (.538) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Rays are 39-20 (.661) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Rays are 17-10 (.630) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 4-102 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Rangers are just 105-17 (.861) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Rangers are just 2-24 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .530 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rays hitters are slugging .461 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rays hitters have 123 strikeouts in 356 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .596 (1,935 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers hitters are slugging .502 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers hitters are slugging .319 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .277 (1,935 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 11 of 330 batters (3%) over the last 14 days (9 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 677 of 9,466 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 2 of 103 batters (2%) over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 266 of 3,447 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 206 of 2,276 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Rangers pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Biceps, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Rays vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
