- The Rangers are -130 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-130) on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rays vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 60-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 56-39 ATS.
Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 +100 | +110 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -120 | -130 |
Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 36 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 97 games (+11.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 93 games (+7.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 97 games (+7.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 97 games (+7.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 97 games (+5.80 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 87 games (+23.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 54 of their last 87 games (+23.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 87 games (+22.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 87 games (+19.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 52-45 against the Run Line (+7.7 Units / 6.69% ROI).
- 60-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.6 Units / 4.81% ROI
- 52-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 6.06% ROI
- 41-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.1 Units / -15.16% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 56-39 against the Run Line (+18.55 Units / 15.86% ROI).
- 56-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 4.6% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 5.02% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.95 Units / -13.34% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 37% (30/82) against Taj Bradley this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Taj Bradley has a strike rate of 73% (243/331) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 21st — the longest active streak is 5.
Taj Bradley has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.025 (41 Total Bases / 40 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .625 — first Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (38/276) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (85/156) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 86th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .139 (23 GB hits out of 165 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OPS of just .620 (455 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .705 — 97th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays are just 2-6 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Rays are 39-21 (.650) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Rays are 57-29 (.663) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Rays are 34-7 (.829) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers are just 54-42 (.562) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Rangers are just 1-113 (.009) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rangers are 31-18 (.633) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .459 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
The Rays are batting just .120 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .176.
Rays hitters are slugging .452 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Rays hitters are slugging .466 with bases empty this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .319 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .595 (1,953 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers hitters are slugging .499 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .855 (1,894 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 12 of 362 batters (3%) over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays pitchers have walked 148 of 2,302 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 3 of 135 batters (2%) over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 267 of 3,481 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.79 (396.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Biceps, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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