- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Tampa Bay Rays (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Rays vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 60-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 57-39 ATS.
Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | O 9 +100 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -120 | -125 |
Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 55.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+8.55 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Singles Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Travis Jankowski has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Gray | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 98 games (+10.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+8.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 98 games (+6.60 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 98 games (+5.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 98 games (+4.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 88 games (+24.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 55 of their last 88 games (+24.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 88 games (+23.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 88 games (+18.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 44 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 52-46 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 5.05% ROI).
- 60-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 4.15% ROI
- 52-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 5.03% ROI
- 42-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -14.07% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 57-39 against the Run Line (+20.15 Units / 17.08% ROI).
- 57-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 5.27% ROI
- 49-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 3.98% ROI
- 41-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.95 Units / -12.25% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .246 (14-for-57) against Zack Littell on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (10/81) against Zack Littell with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed an OPS of 1.002 (165 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the 2021 season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .723 — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 30th, 2018 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Gray allowed a batting average of .354 vs right-handed batters (second worst)– second Percentile and just .171 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .172 (34-for-198) against Jon Gray’s non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 91st Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Jon Gray over the last 14 days (2 games) — highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .222 — second Percentile.
Jon Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .263 (52 Total Bases / 198 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — 91st Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Rays are 39-21 (.650) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Rays are 23-8 (.742) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Rays are 18-13 (.581) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers are 17-11 (.607) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
The Rangers are just 106-17 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .908.
The Rangers are just 1-113 (.009) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rangers are 5-4 (.556) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .391 on PA’s that last 5+ pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .766 (1,861 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Rays are batting .268 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .592 (1,974 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .360 (975 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rangers are batting .291 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .854 (1,930 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays pitchers have walked 16 of 363 batters (4%) over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 682 of 9,534 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have not walked any of the 45 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 271 of 3,518 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 206 of 2,294 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Biceps, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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