- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Rangers TV Channel: BSUN | BSSW
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Rays are 44-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 40-47 ATS.
Rays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-4, 3.43 ERA
Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -110 | -110 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -110 | -110 |
Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 55 of their last 84 games (+24.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+7.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 78 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games at home (+17.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+7.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-45 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.99% ROI).
- 44-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -7.24% ROI
- 43-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 42-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -5.42% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 40-47 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -10.8% ROI).
- 39-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -15.14% ROI
- 33-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.8 Units / -22.79% ROI
- 50-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.9 Units / 14.51% ROI
Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Amed Rosario (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Lorenzen (TEX) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a BABIP of .144 vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .129 (18-for-139) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .475 (163 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .716 — 98th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .291 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .129 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Rays are 30-52 (.366) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Rays are just 20-39 (.339) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 49-4 (.925) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Rays are 100-19 (.840) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .788.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Rangers are just 9-166 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rangers are 18-3 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .755.
The Rangers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 191 strikeouts in 772 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Rays are batting just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,028/15,592 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .797 (4,629 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .327 (9,563 PA’s) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Rangers are 40-25 (.597) against the run line (26.7% ROI) after a home win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 306 of 3,236 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rangers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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