Rays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rays / Rangers TV Channel: BSUN | BSSW | MLBN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Rays are 44-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 41-47 ATS.

Rays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 3-4, 3.40 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 3-9, 4.03 ERA

Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +155O 8 -105-110
Rangers +1.5 -190U 8 -115-110

Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 56 of their last 85 games (+25.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+7.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+6.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 39 games at home (+18.30 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+7.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+6.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-46 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -5.81% ROI).

  • 44-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -8.16% ROI
  • 43-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -4.04% ROI
  • 43-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -4.33% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 41-47 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -9.77% ROI).

  • 40-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -14.08% ROI
  • 33-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.9 Units / -23.67% ROI
  • 51-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.9 Units / 15.38% ROI

Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Jose Siri (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Heaney (TEX) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105
Taj Bradley (TB) 5.5 -125 5.5 -105

Taj Bradley has struck out 33% (118/354) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 21% (22/104) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 32% (72 SO in 228 PAs) this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (83/156) against Taj Bradley against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (181 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Andrew Heaney has walked 1 of 104 batters (1%) versus the bottom of the order this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 33% (46/139) against Andrew Heaney when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has a strikeout rate of 56% (14 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes — 9th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 89th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Rays are 11-93 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Rays are 110-26 (.809) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Rays are 65-41 (.613) after a loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.

The Rays are 10-35 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Rangers are just 3-183 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 5-91 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Rangers are just 2-32 (.059) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Rangers are just 93-61 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Rays have scored first in 69% of their road games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (423 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,617 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters are slugging .461 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Rangers hitters are slugging .426 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Rays pitchers have walked 1,071 of 15,274 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Rangers have allowed 3.35 runs per game (144/43) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.

Rangers pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Rangers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.