Rays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 7

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Texas Rangers' Marcus Semien watches his two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the ninth inning in Game 5 of the baseball World Series Wednesday, Nov. 1, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 07, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Rangers are -135 favorites vs the Rays
  • Rays vs Rangers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Rays / Rangers TV Channel: BSUN | BSSW

The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Rays are 44-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 42-47 ATS.

Rays vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 3-5, 3.96 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 5-3, 3.18 ERA

Rays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -175O 7.5 -105+115
Rangers -1.5 +145U 7.5 -115-135

Rays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 57 of their last 86 games (+26.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 away games (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 games (+8.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.75 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games at home (+19.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 42-47 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -6.61% ROI).

  • 44-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -9.06% ROI
  • 43-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -5.12% ROI
  • 44-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.26% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 42-47 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -8.75% ROI).

  • 41-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -13.04% ROI
  • 33-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -24 Units / -24.53% ROI
  • 52-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.9 Units / 16.22% ROI

Rangers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Jonah Heim (TEX) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Rangers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nate Lowe (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Josh H. Smith (TEX) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Leody Taveras (TEX) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rangers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Brandon Lowe (TB) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Jonah Heim (TEX) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Rangers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) 5.5 -165 5.5 +125
Zack Littell (TB) 3.5 -155 3.5 +120

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (31/113) against Zack Littell in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 5 of 260 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

8 of Zack Littell’s 25 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Littell has thrown his slider 46% of the time (448/981) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents batted just .045 (1-for-22) against Nathan Eovaldi — 2nd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Josh Staumont has the longest active streak at 18.1.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .171 (82 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .301 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (49-for-274) against Nathan Eovaldi when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Rays are 11-94 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Rays are 30-53 (.361) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Rays are 104-5 (.954) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Rays are 23-11 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Rangers are just 5-91 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Rangers are just 3-183 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 2-102 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Rangers are just 93-61 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

27% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have 183 strikeouts in 562 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Rays have scored first in 68% of their road games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (430 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.

The Rangers are batting just .237 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .796 (4,696 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .736.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,032 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (401.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

Rangers pitchers have walked 316 of 3,310 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.