• The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RATV | WMOR

The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on July 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rays are 56-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 44-47 ATS.

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Griffin Jax 5-6, 3.46 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 4-3, 2.65 ERA

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.30 Units / 54% ROI)
• Ryan Vilade has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.50 Units / 206% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.90 Units / 18% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+23.00 Units / 288% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.95 Units / 58% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Carlos Narvaez has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+13.95 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games (+12.20 Units / 56% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 55-39 against the Run Line (+24.05 Units / 21.15% ROI).

• 56-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 9.95% ROI
• 42-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -9.17% ROI
• 47-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 0.53% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 44-47 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -2.97% ROI).

• 46-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -10.38% ROI
• 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -11.01% ROI
• 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 1.55% ROI

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 9-30 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.

The Rays are 37-19 (.661) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Rays are 48-11 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rays are 56-38 (.596) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are just 5-30 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.

The Red Sox are just 6-22 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Red Sox are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 174 extra-base hits out of 576 total hits (just 30%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rays are batting .207 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .771 (957 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .339 (957 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .675 (2,573 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .432 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .275 (843 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Rays pitchers this season traveled 492.2 feet — — 5th longest in MLB

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (433.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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