- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RATV
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on July 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.
This season, the Rays are against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are ATS.
Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ian Seymour 6-2, 4.62 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 0-0, 2.08 ERA
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +154 | O 9.5 -110 | -105 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -190 | U 9.5 -110 | -115 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan Vilade has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.50 Units / 145% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.95 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Caleb Durbin has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+21.00 Units / 210% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+7.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 24 games (+15.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 20 games (+14.45 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+13.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 52% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 37-19 (.661) after a win this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Rays are 21-4 (.840) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Rays are 56-40 (.583) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 23-13 (.639) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Red Sox (26th in runs scored).
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 19-27 (.413) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Red Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 6-22 (.214) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Red Sox are just 3-26 (.103) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.
Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB.
Rays hitters are slugging .284 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 70% at home this season — best in MLB.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters are slugging just .378 against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.
The Red Sox have a winning percentage of just 41% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .431 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .695 (1,676 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 6% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Red Sox have allowed 3.56 runs per game (178/50) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Red Sox pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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