Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Red Sox (45-36) are -120 favorites vs the Rays (44-37)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (3-5), 3.90 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on NESN

The Tampa Bay Rays (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 44-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 45-36 ATS.

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -190O 9 -120+100
Red Sox -1.5 +155U 9 +100-120

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 74.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Story has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Bobby Dalbec has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games at home (+7.85 Units / 157% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+6.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 33 games at home (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.70 Units / 58% ROI)

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jarren Duran 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Rafael Devers 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
J.D. Martinez 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jarren Duran 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Rafael Devers 1.5 +170 1.5 -250

Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Jarren Duran 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Rafael Devers 0.5 +115 0.5 -160

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Kluber 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Bello 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+7.15 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.60 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 52 games (+14.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games (+12.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 41 of their last 74 games (+7.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 80 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 38-43 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -5.29% ROI).

  • 44-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.2 Units / -2.82% ROI
  • 37-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -6.9% ROI
  • 40-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.61% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 45-36 against the Run Line (+10.85 Units / 10.77% ROI).

  • 45-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 2.38% ROI
  • 32-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -12.55% ROI
  • 40-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 6.51% ROI

Opponents are hitless in 15 AB’s against Corey Kluber in close and late situations since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

The last hit on a Corey Kluber changeup was April 22nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 22 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (513/1,067) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Corey Kluber has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (269/539) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.

Brayan Bello: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 10-6 (.625) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 3-29 (.094) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .080.

The Rays are 25-17 (.595) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Rays are 80-13 (.860) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 24-19 (.558) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Red Sox are just 40-4 (.909) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .920.

The Red Sox are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .080.

The Rays have scored 1.77 runs per game (424/240) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

Rays hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 304 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays hitters have 709 strikeouts in 2,954 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .447 (1,616 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.

The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .269 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .356 (1,184 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Red Sox have scored first in 70% of their road games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Rays pitchers have walked 134 of 2,186 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 647 of 8,978 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 41 of 724 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 30% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 33% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Red Sox have won 48% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (1,979 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Richard Hill (Red Sox): Knee, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.