- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Garrett Whitlock
- Watch the game on NESN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-140) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+115) on Friday, June 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 40-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 29-27 ATS.
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +110 | O 9.5 -120 | -140 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 9.5 +100 | +115 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 63.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+17.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+19.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Whitlock | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Tyler Glasnow | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 58 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-26 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 12.06% ROI).
- 40-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.6 Units / 17.47% ROI
- 34-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 16.39% ROI
- 21-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -26.2% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 29-27 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.74% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 4.27% ROI
- 33-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 15.47% ROI
- 21-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -16 Units / -25.79% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has limited playing time.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Whitlock has walked 12 of 281 left-handed batters (4%) since the 2021 season — tied for 5th best among in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 94th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 35 of 692 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 18 of 394 batters (5%) since last season — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has a strike rate of 68% (1,808/2,673) since the 2021 season — tied for 13th highest among among 167 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 64% — 92nd Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 40-18 (.690) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays are 27-12 (.692) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are just 7-86 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Red Sox are 17-11 (.607) after a win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Red Sox are 9-4 (.692) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Red Sox are 21-23 (.477) after a win as underdogs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .569 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .933 (413 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .624 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .340 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox are batting .278 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .296 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Rays pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 32 of 492 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.33 (783.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 606 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
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