- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
- Red Sox starting pitcher: –
- Watch the game on NESN
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox () on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Boston.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 40-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 29-27 ATS.
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Red Sox | U |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+17.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+19.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Whitlock | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 58 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-26 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 12.06% ROI).
- 40-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.6 Units / 17.47% ROI
- 34-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 16.39% ROI
- 21-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -26.2% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 29-27 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.74% ROI).
- 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 4.27% ROI
- 33-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 15.47% ROI
- 21-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -16 Units / -25.79% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Kelley has a strike rate of just 50% (28/56) over the past seven days (3 games) — tied for 3rd lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Trevor Kelley has a strike rate of just 57% (49/86) over the last 14 days (4 games) — 9th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Trevor Kelley has a strikeout rate of just 29% (6 SO in 21 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (6 games) — 8th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.
Trevor Kelley has allowed a slugging percentage of .571 (20 Total Bases / 35 ABs) over the last 30 days (7 games) — tied for 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .373 — eighth Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Garrett Whitlock has walked 35 of 692 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 18 of 394 batters (5%) since last season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Garrett Whitlock has walked 12 of 281 left-handed batters (4%) since the 2021 season — tied for 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .190 (26-for-137) against Garrett Whitlock with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .242 — 92nd Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 15-2 (.882) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.
The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Rays are 2-16 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are 11-20 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Red Sox are 9-4 (.692) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Red Sox are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 4-22 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .933 (413 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
Rays hitters are slugging .569 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .624 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .296 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .360 (1,135 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .351 (637 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .341 (2,184 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rays pitchers have walked 119 of 1,958 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.33 (783.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 32 of 492 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 37% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
- Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Lucas Raley (Rays): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
Bet now on Rays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
