Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 03, 2023, 3:34 PM
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  • Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
  • Red Sox starting pitcher:
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The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox () on Saturday, June 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Boston.

The are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().

The Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Rays are 40-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 29-27 ATS.

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays O
Red Sox U

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 52.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+17.00 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+11.30 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+19.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.10 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 23 games at home (+11.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Rafael Devers 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Rafael Devers 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Rafael Devers 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Christian Bethancourt 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Garrett Whitlock 4.5 -115 4.5 -115
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 58 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 58 games (+16.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+11.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 43 games (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 32-26 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 12.06% ROI).

  • 40-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.6 Units / 17.47% ROI
  • 34-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 16.39% ROI
  • 21-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.65 Units / -26.2% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 29-27 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.74% ROI).

  • 29-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 4.27% ROI
  • 33-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 15.47% ROI
  • 21-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -16 Units / -25.79% ROI

Trevor Kelley has a strike rate of just 50% (28/56) over the past seven days (3 games) — tied for 3rd lowest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Trevor Kelley has a strike rate of just 57% (49/86) over the last 14 days (4 games) — 9th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.

Trevor Kelley has a strikeout rate of just 29% (6 SO in 21 PAs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days (6 games) — 8th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.

Trevor Kelley has allowed a slugging percentage of .571 (20 Total Bases / 35 ABs) over the last 30 days (7 games) — tied for 8th highest among in MLB; League Avg: .373 — eighth Percentile.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Garrett Whitlock has walked 35 of 692 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 95th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has walked 18 of 394 batters (5%) since last season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has walked 12 of 281 left-handed batters (4%) since the 2021 season — tied for 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .190 (26-for-137) against Garrett Whitlock with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .242 — 92nd Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 15-2 (.882) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

The Rays are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

The Rays are 9-6 (.600) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The Rays are 2-16 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are 11-20 (.355) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .214.

The Red Sox are 9-4 (.692) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .538.

The Red Sox are just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 4-22 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .933 (413 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.

Rays hitters are slugging .569 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Rays hitters are slugging .624 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.

The Red Sox are batting .296 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .360 (1,135 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .351 (637 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .341 (2,184 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rays pitchers have walked 119 of 1,958 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.33 (783.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 32 of 492 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 37% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Richard Bleier (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Hip, D15
  • Zack Littell (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Lucas Raley (Rays): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.