- The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello
- Watch the game on NESN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-140) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+115) on Monday, June 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Boston.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Rays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 42-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 30-29 ATS.
Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -105 | -140 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -115 | +115 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Mejia has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+10.60 Units / 118% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Christian Bethancour has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+15.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Red Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Masataka Yoshida | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 61 games (+17.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 61 games (+17.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 61 games (+14.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games (+10.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games at home (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+1.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 34-27 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 12.19% ROI).
- 42-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.6 Units / 17.81% ROI
- 35-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 13.89% ROI
- 23-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -23.54% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 30-29 against the Run Line (-2.4 Units / -3.17% ROI).
- 30-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 2.59% ROI
- 34-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.35 Units / 12.92% ROI
- 23-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -23.09% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .140 (50 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .262 (50 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .689 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has 26 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (171/474) against Shane McClanahan this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 95th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 49% (80/163) on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (14/23) against Brayan Bello on elevated fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (55/163) against Brayan Bello on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 48% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (175/304) against Brayan Bello since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Rays are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Rays are 42-19 (.689) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 9-7 (.562) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Rays are 9-12 (.429) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Red Sox are 12-21 (.364) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .215.
The Red Sox are just 7-9 (.438) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Red Sox are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 18-12 (.600) after a win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .926 (432 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
Rays hitters are slugging .562 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 81% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .620 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .399 (218 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .421 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .353.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 75% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 121 of 1,984 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 35 of 519 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 6 of 104 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 35 double plays in 410 opportunities (9%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Red Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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