• The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: ESPN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-115) on May 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rays are 24-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 13-23 ATS.

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Griffin Jax 1-2, 5.03 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Jake Bennett 1-0, 1.80 ERA

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+8.75 Units / 88% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.45 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+16.70 Units / 278% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.65 Units / 107% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 78% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.70 Units / 97% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 24 games (+14.75 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.85 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+5.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+13.20 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.55 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 22-14 against the Run Line (+10.15 Units / 22.11% ROI).

• 24-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 28.94% ROI
• 16-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -7.24% ROI
• 17-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -2.38% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 13-23 against the Run Line (-10.2 Units / -23.23% ROI).

• 16-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -21.87% ROI
• 18-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -5.01% ROI
• 18-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -4.32% ROI

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 18-5 (.783) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Rays are 21-1 (.955) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rays are 5-10 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Rays are 12-2 (.857) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Red Sox (26th in runs scored).

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are just 1-18 (.053) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Red Sox are just 6-10 (.375) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Red Sox are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Red Sox are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .891.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .298 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 217 total hits (just 26%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .324 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .195 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting just .223 at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays have allowed 1.81 runs per game (65/36) in the first 5 innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (164.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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