• The Red Sox are -140 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RATV | WMOR

The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-140) on May 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rays are 25-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 13-24 ATS.

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Jesse Scholtens 3-1, 3.23 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Connelly Early 2-2, 3.79 ERA

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.10 Units / 40% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+9.75 Units / 108% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.55 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.50 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.70 Units / 224% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+16.45 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+15.70 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+4.25 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-14 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 23.99% ROI).

• 25-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 30.52% ROI
• 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -4.57% ROI
• 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -5.01% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 13-24 against the Run Line (-11.5 Units / -25.44% ROI).

• 16-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.3 Units / -23.66% ROI
• 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.05 Units / -2.5% ROI
• 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -6.84% ROI

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 19-5 (.792) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rays are 22-1 (.957) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rays are 13-2 (.867) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Red Sox (24th in runs scored).

The Rays are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .860.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are just 6-11 (.353) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Red Sox are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Red Sox are 15-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .893.

The Red Sox are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters are slugging .305 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 59 extra-base hits out of 224 total hits (just 26%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .441 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .332 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .320 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .353 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .263 (334 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .288 (1,381 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Red Sox pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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