• The Red Sox are -155 favorites vs the Rays
• Rays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Rays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (+125) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-155) on May 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Rays are 25-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 14-24 ATS.

Rays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 3-1, 1.72 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Payton Tolle 1-1, 2.04 ERA

Rays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+8.75 Units / 88% ROI)
• Ben Williamson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.65 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+14.70 Units / 184% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.20 Units / 75% ROI)
• Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+6.05 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+8.95 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 55% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-15 against the Run Line (+9.4 Units / 19.28% ROI).

• 25-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 27.57% ROI
• 17-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -7.1% ROI
• 18-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -2.5% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 14-24 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -21.43% ROI).

• 17-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -20.98% ROI
• 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -4.98% ROI
• 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -4.33% ROI

Red Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Rays are 22-2 (.917) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Rays are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Rays are 5-11 (.312) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .138.

The Rays are 3-12 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Red Sox are just 2-11 (.154) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

The Red Sox are just 7-11 (.389) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Red Sox are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Red Sox are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .298 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 19% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 59 extra-base hits out of 224 total hits (just 26%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .433 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .321 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,109 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .288 (1,415 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 3.13 (164.0 IP) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have 41 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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