- The Rays are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Rays starting pitcher: Jalen Beeks
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Tampa Bay Rays (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 14-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 10-5 ATS.
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -120 | -150 |
| Reds | +1.5 -125 | U 9.5 +100 | +125 |
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 63.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+7.30 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI)
Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.65 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.15 Units / 44% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 13-3 against the Run Line (+10.5 Units / 54.83% ROI).
- 14-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 37.3% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 31.81% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -40.56% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 10-5 against the Run Line (+6.55 Units / 37.11% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -15.9% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 28.83% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -35.93% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (104/221) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (519/1,067) since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 55% of the time (394/719) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Jalen Beeks has thrown his changeup 51% of the time (143/282) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 19% — 97th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has thrown 90 fastballs at 100+ MPH this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.6 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has thrown 572 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rays are 14-2 (.875) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Rays are 10-0 (1.000) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Rays are 11-107 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Rays are 11-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Reds are just 17-28 (.378) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Reds are just 1-5 (.167) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Reds are just 57-6 (.905) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .896 (613 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Rays hitters are slugging .541 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays hitters are slugging .389 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Rays hitters are slugging 1.031 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Reds hitters have an OPS of 1.455 (109 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.151.
The Reds are batting .481 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .354.
Reds hitters are slugging just .491 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .561.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays pitchers have walked 432 of 6,498 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,469 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 995 of 14,275 batters (7%) since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 143 of 1,560 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Reds pitchers have walked 673 of 6,820 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .352 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Reds vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Spencer Steer (Reds): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D15
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Back, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
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