- The Rays are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Tampa Bay Rays (-130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+110) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 14-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-5 ATS.
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -120 | -130 |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | U 9.5 +100 | +110 |
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.65 Units / 96% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 73% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+12.85 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 49% ROI)
Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Curt Casali | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Taj Bradley | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 50% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 13-4 against the Run Line (+9.5 Units / 47.15% ROI).
- 14-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 30.86% ROI
- 10-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 24.32% ROI
- 5-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -32.8% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 11-5 against the Run Line (+7.55 Units / 39.95% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -7.2% ROI
- 10-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.65 Units / 21.04% ROI
- 6-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -28.01% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has limited playing time.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (52/140) against Nick Lodolo this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Nick Lodolo’s pitches in the zone (83/148) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 55% (27 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 88th Percentile.
Nick Lodolo has a strikeout rate of 36% (27 SO in 75 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rays are 10-0 (1.000) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Rays are 14-3 (.824) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Rays are 44-10 (.815) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Rays are 11-108 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Reds are just 17-28 (.378) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 58-6 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Reds are just 1-5 (.167) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .950 (379 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Rays hitters are slugging 1.015 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Rays hitters are slugging .573 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Rays hitters are slugging .529 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Reds hitters are slugging just .346 on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Reds hitters are slugging just .317 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .231 (350 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,469 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 89 of 1,593 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents are hitting just .200 against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays pitchers have walked 436 of 6,536 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .310 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .351 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Reds pitchers have walked 675 of 6,857 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 143 of 1,569 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shin, Day-to-Day
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Spencer Steer (Reds): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Back, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
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