- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
- Reds starting pitcher: Levi Stoudt
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds () on Wednesday, April 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 15-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 11-6 ATS.
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Reds | U |
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 103% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.85 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jason Vosler | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kevin Newman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Stoudt | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 42% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.10 Units / 35% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 14-4 against the Run Line (+10.8 Units / 51.06% ROI).
- 15-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 32.65% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 28.21% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.4 Units / -36.82% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 11-6 against the Run Line (+6.05 Units / 29.66% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -12.26% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 25.34% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -32.55% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has a strike rate of 73% (84/115) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OBP of just .231 (65 PA’s) this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .310 — 92nd Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .302 (38 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .495 — 89th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .088 (3-for-34) against Drew Rasmussen with two-strikes this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — 90th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Levi Stoudt is making his MLB debut today.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rays are 15-3 (.833) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Rays are 12-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Rays are 5-3 (.625) on the road this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Rays are 38-56 (.404) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Reds are just 20-22 (.476) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Reds are just 17-28 (.378) when scoring in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 58-6 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Reds are just 67-87 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .545 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .903 (696 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Rays hitters are slugging .580 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .884 (482 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .317 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Reds hitters are slugging just .346 on the road since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Reds are batting just .304 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The Reds are batting just .225 on the road since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 438 of 6,570 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 995 of 14,275 batters (7%) since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (90.0 IP) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Rays pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .369 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Reds pitchers have walked 676 of 6,903 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,457 of 14,699 batters (10%) since the 2020 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have walked 309 of 3,408 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Christian Greene (Reds): Shin, Day-to-Day
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Luke Weaver (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Spencer Steer (Reds): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hamstring, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Back, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
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