- The Rays (45-39) are -135 favorites vs the Reds (31-54)
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz (1-1), 2.91 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (1-2), 4.19 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on Sunday, July 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 45-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 38-47 ATS.
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +120 | O 8.5 -115 | -135 |
| Reds | +1.5 -145 | U 8.5 -105 | +115 |
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- No trends found
Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Donovan Solano | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Moustakas | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Lodolo | 5.5 -200 | 5.5 +145 |
| Shane Baz | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +110 |
| Nick Lodolo | 4.5 -175 | 4.5 +120 |
| Nick Lodolo | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+10.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 59 games (+3.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 39-45 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -6.14% ROI).
- 45-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 37-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -10.1% ROI
- 43-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.61% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 38-47 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -14.55% ROI).
- 31-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -17.33% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.92% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -11.63% ROI
Shane Baz: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 32 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from Shane Baz. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 35.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (18/31) against Shane Baz — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (11/20) against Shane Baz against right-handed batters — tied for 14th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 13th Percentile.
Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Lodolo has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.1 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 48.2.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 20-5 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.
The Rays are 132-15 (.898) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Rays are 72-22 (.766) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Reds are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Reds are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 2-44 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .111.
The Reds are 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 312 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .450 (1,682 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Rays hitters are slugging just .224 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,498 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .337 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 35% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .286 (384 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .623 (1,457 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 134 of 2,215 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 218 of 3,094 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 41 of 753 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 654 of 9,092 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 44 double plays in 663 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 937 of 9,482 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (405.2 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Reds vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Back, Day-to-Day
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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