Rays vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 10, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (45-39) are -135 favorites vs the Reds (31-54)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz (1-1), 2.91 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Nicholas Lodolo (1-2), 4.19 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on Sunday, July 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rays vs Reds Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 45-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 38-47 ATS.

Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +120O 8.5 -115-135
Reds +1.5 -145U 8.5 -105+115

Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 66.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Wander Franco has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.20 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • No trends found

Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Donovan Solano 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Jonathan India 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Tommy Pham 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Donovan Solano 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jonathan India 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Mike Moustakas 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Tommy Pham 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Donovan Solano 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Jonathan India 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Mike Moustakas 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Tommy Pham 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nick Lodolo 5.5 -200 5.5 +145
Shane Baz 5.5 -155 5.5 +110
Nick Lodolo 4.5 -175 4.5 +120
Nick Lodolo 6.5 +115 6.5 -160
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+10.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 59 games (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.20 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 59 games (+3.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 39-45 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -6.14% ROI).

  • 45-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -4.59% ROI
  • 37-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -10.1% ROI
  • 43-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.61% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 38-47 against the Run Line (-15.4 Units / -14.55% ROI).

  • 31-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -17.33% ROI
  • 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 1.92% ROI
  • 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -11.63% ROI

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 32 ABs ending on a two-strike slider from Shane Baz. — Jesse Chavez has the longest active streak at 35.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 58% (18/31) against Shane Baz — 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (11/20) against Shane Baz against right-handed batters — tied for 14th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — 13th Percentile.

Nicholas Lodolo: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nick Lodolo has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.1 innings he’s appeared — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 48.2.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Rays are 10-7 (.588) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 20-5 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

The Rays are 132-15 (.898) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays are 72-22 (.766) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .647.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Reds are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Reds are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 2-44 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .111.

The Reds are 8-5 (.615) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays hitters have grounded into 15 double plays in 312 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of just .450 (1,682 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.

Rays hitters are slugging just .224 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Rays hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,498 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Reds hitters are slugging just .337 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 35% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .286 (384 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .623 (1,457 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Rays pitchers have walked 134 of 2,215 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 218 of 3,094 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 41 of 753 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 654 of 9,092 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 44 double plays in 663 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have walked 937 of 9,482 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.30 (405.2 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.

Reds vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D10
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.