- The Rays are -110 favorites vs the Reds
- Rays vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Rays / Reds TV Channel: FDOH | FSUN | WTOG
The Tampa Bay Rays (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Friday, July 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Rays are 53-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 54-48 ATS.
Rays vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 8-7, 3.55 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 8-9, 4.79 ERA
Rays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -110 | -110 |
| Reds | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -110 | -110 |
Rays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.90 Units / 247% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Over in his last 4 games (+7.45 Units / 186% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+14.80 Units / 296% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 40 away games (+14.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 87 games (+12.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+11.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 38 away games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+17.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 48-53 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -3.74% ROI).
- 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.97 Units / -3.06% ROI
- 42-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -18.47% ROI
- 57-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.4 Units / 10.14% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 54-48 against the Run Line (-1.38 Units / -1% ROI).
- 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -0.95% ROI
- 41-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.24 Units / -20.6% ROI
- 59-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.05 Units / 12.33% ROI
Reds vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt McLain (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| TJ Friedl (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Austin Hays (CIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Reds vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Zack Littell (TB) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 4% of batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 48% of the time (167/346) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed three-ball counts to 12% of batters he faced (61/487 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has struck out just 13% (32/247) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .415 (17-for-41) against Nick Martinez this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .291 (67-for-230) against Nick Martinez this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (46/134) against Nick Martinez in two-strike counts this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Rays are 4-39 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Rays are 35-5 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 7-39 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Rays are 9-112 (.074) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Reds are just 16-33 (.327) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 8-22 (.267) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 15-23 (.395) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Reds are 25-5 (.833) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,784 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rays hitters struck out 343 times in 1,369 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .382 against RHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .263 (2,042 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 46% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Reds are batting just .223 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Reds are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Reds are batting just .128 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 85 double plays in 656 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (18 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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