- The Rays are -275 favorites vs the Royals
- Rays starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow
- Royals starting pitcher: Alec Marsh
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Tampa Bay Rays (-275) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+220) on Saturday, July 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Rays vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 58-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 34-57 ATS.
Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -2.5 -115 | O 9 +100 | -275 |
| Royals | +2.5 -105 | U 9 -120 | +220 |
Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 89.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+13.25 Units / 100% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+7.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jordan Lyles has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.70 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -500 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Maikel Garcia | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow | 7.5 -150 | 7.5 +115 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 89 games (+10.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 93 games (+9.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 93 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 away games (+2.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 70 games (+5.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 50-43 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 7.42% ROI).
- 58-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 6.07% ROI
- 51-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 8.57% ROI
- 38-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.1 Units / -17.76% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 34-57 against the Run Line (-33.15 Units / -29.61% ROI).
- 26-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.9 Units / -30.53% ROI
- 42-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.95 Units / -9.94% ROI
- 47-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.45% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 39% (137/355) against Tyler Glasnow this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — Spencer Strider has the longest active streak at 18.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 36% (64 SO in 176 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 61% (86/140) against Tyler Glasnow on low breaking pitches this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alec Marsh has walked 7 of 42 batters (17%) over the last 30 days (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (5/24) against Alec Marsh over the last 30 days (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Alec Marsh has allowed an OBP of .405 (42 PA’s) over the last 30 days (2 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .312 — seventh Percentile.
Alec Marsh has not induced opposing hitters to ground into a double play in 6 opportunities (0%) over the last 30 days (2 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 23rd Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 33-6 (.846) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Rays are 26-6 (.812) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Rays are 14-12 (.538) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Rays are just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 6-12 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Royals are just 7-70 (.091) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Royals are just 6-23 (.207) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Royals are just 25-56 (.309) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .272 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Rays have scored first in 62% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .797 (702 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Rays are batting .260 on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 29% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (2,414 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Royals have won just 39% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays pitchers have walked 675 of 9,363 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals pitchers have walked 197 of 2,211 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Royals pitchers have allowed a run 38% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Back, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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