- The Rays (57-49) are -275 favorites vs the Tigers (42-66)
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (10-4), 2.06 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Garrett Hill (1-3), 5.88 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Tampa Bay Rays (-275) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+220) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Rays vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 57-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 48-60 ATS.
Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -2.5 +105 | O 7.5 -120 | -275 |
| Tigers | +2.5 -130 | U 7.5 +100 | +220 |
Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 away games (+16.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 away games (+12.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.05 Units / 67% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+8.15 Units / 84% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +110 |
| Garrett Hill | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 away games (+4.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 82 games (+2.25 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+0.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 105 games (+21.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games at home (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+3.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 49-57 against the Run Line (-7.95 Units / -6.12% ROI).
- 57-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -4.86% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -6.6% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.3 Units / -1.09% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 48-60 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -15.23% ROI).
- 42-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -10.12% ROI
- 38-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -23.96% ROI
- 61-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.85 Units / 16.67% ROI
Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .175 (64-for-366) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 96th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .137 (278 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 34% (158 SO in 459 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 57% (158 SO in 278 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Garrett Hill: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (15/25) against Garrett Hill against right-handed batters — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Garrett Hill has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to July 21st — the longest active streak is 8.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (20/38) against Garrett Hill — tied for 9th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — sixth Percentile.
The hardest ball hit off of Garrett Hill was 113.5 MPH — tied for 12th hardest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 109.4
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rays are 10-8 (.556) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 24-7 (.774) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.
The Rays are 136-20 (.872) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Tigers are just 4-48 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Tigers are just 18-37 (.327) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Tigers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 764 strikeouts in 3,142 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .323 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rays hitters are slugging .607 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Rays hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .585 (2,887 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .577 (1,975 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,887 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .311 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 143 of 2,410 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 258 of 3,903 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays pitchers have walked 694 of 9,901 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 86 of 944 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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