- The Rays (57-50) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (43-66)
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (6-4), 3.05 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (0-0), 3.46 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (-190) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+155) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Rays vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 57-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 49-60 ATS.
Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -115 | -190 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -105 | +155 |
Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 31 away games (+17.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 away games (+13.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.15 Units / 70% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 67% ROI)
Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Harold Castro | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Akil Baddoo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Harold Castro | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Manning | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
| Drew Rasmussen | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 40 games (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 83 games (+0.65 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 60 of their last 106 games (+19.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 77 games (+3.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.90 Units / 30% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 49-58 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -7.12% ROI).
- 57-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.75 Units / -6.46% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -5.64% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -2.12% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 49-60 against the Run Line (-19.55 Units / -14.25% ROI).
- 43-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -8.17% ROI
- 39-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.5 Units / -22.89% ROI
- 61-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.6 Units / 15.46% ROI
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (34/93) against Drew Rasmussen on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 42% (22/52) against Drew Rasmussen on low breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (45/149) against Drew Rasmussen on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown fastballs up 82% of the time (141/172) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.4 MPH last season (290 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 88.8
Matt Manning allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.4 MPH (290 batted balls) last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 88.8 — third Percentile.
Matt Manning had an average spin rate of 2014.8 RPM on fastballs last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 2212.8 — ninth Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are 33-21 (.611) at home this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Rays are 5-35 (.125) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .115.
The Rays are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rays are 150-11 (.932) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Tigers are just 4-48 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Tigers are just 18-37 (.327) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Tigers are just 43-58 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,208 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .466 (2,148 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Rays hitters have 32 strikeouts in 103 PA’s (31%) against LHP over the last 14 days (10 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have 333 strikeouts in 1,038 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .577 (1,975 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (2,898 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (2,898 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .311 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 694 of 9,937 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 50 of 956 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 258 of 3,939 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 862 of 12,149 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 4% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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