- The Tigers are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Tigers TV Channel: FSUN | FDDT
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-130) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Rays are 49-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 50-42 ATS.
Rays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 6-6, 3.36 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 5-9, 4.86 ERA
Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -115 | +110 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -105 | -130 |
Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Strikeouts Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Earned Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Earned Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+5.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 4 games (+4.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
Tigers Best Bets Today:
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 45-44 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 2.52% ROI).
- 49-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.53 Units / 3.15% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -16.2% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.95 Units / 8.1% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 50-42 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 3.04% ROI).
- 58-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.7 Units / 10.69% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.56% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -9.59% ROI
Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -118 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a SLG of .485 vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– seventh Percentile but just .339 vs left-handed batters this season (ninth best among qualified SPs)– 85th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a batting average of .272 vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth worst)– 15th Percentile and just .173 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 94th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .272 (56-for-206) against Ryan Pepiot this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 15th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (240/374) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 66% of the time (181/274) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (240/374) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown just 46% of his pitches in the strike zone (353/773) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — third Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Rays are 23-17 (.575) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Tigers (Ranks fifth runs allowed) today.
The Rays are 40-4 (.889) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
The Rays are 6-33 (.154) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers are 33-2 (.943) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Tigers are 72-6 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Tigers are 23-5 (.821) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .632.
The Tigers are 31-14 (.689) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .290 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Rays are batting .283 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Rays are 4-32 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .320 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers are batting .266 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 10% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have a winning percentage of 57% on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 79 double plays in 576 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% when going through the lineup the third time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.48 (818.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
More MLB Reading:
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