- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Twins
- Rays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Twins TV Channel: FSUN | TWTV
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-130) on Sunday, July 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Rays are 48-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 43-43 ATS.
Rays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 7-5, 2.78 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 8-4, 2.75 ERA
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +110 |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -130 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.30 Units / 137% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Stolen Bases Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kody Clemens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)
- Kody Clemens has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 away games (+17.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 away games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 72 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 games (+8.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 80 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games at home (+5.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 82 games (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 44-43 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 1.67% ROI).
- 48-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.43 Units / 2.19% ROI
- 37-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.2 Units / -17.38% ROI
- 49-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.1 Units / 9.39% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 43-43 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -0.23% ROI).
- 43-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -9.18% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -13.66% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 5.07% ROI
Twins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Twins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brooks Lee (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 -118 | 4.5 -110 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .183 (28-for-153) against Drew Rasmussen this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (375/723) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (134/268) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has induced opposing hitters to ground into 12 double plays in 53 opportunities (23%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has allowed an OPS of just .442 (61 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .999 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .169 (32-for-189) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (11 Total Bases / 56 ABs) when behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .558 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (66-for-351) against Joe Ryan this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 96th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 6-32 (.158) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Rays are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Rays are 20-16 (.556) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Rays are 110-2 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 25-17 (.595) after a win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Twins are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are just 2-107 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .426 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 56% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Rays are batting .260 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rays are batting .186 with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have struck out in 43% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .530 (200 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Twins hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .132 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 79 double plays in 566 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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