Rays vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 12, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays (34-25) are -115 favorites vs the Twins (35-26)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (2-2), 1.624 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Bryson Sands (0-2), 8.486 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-105) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rays vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 34-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 28-33 ATS.

Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +135O 9 -115-115
Twins +1.5 -165U 9 -105-105

Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 65.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+9.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 57% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+18.15 Units / 103% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 games (+4.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+14.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 28-31 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -1.27% ROI).

  • 34-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.87% ROI
  • 27-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -8.31% ROI
  • 30-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.53% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 28-33 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -7.5% ROI).

  • 35-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 9.11% ROI
  • 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 1.35% ROI
  • 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -9.26% ROI

Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .284 (23/81) against Jeffrey Springs on sliders since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .141 — second Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 50% (25 SO in 50 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of last season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (443/999) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 14% — 94th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has struck out 34% (81/242) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 91st Percentile.

Bryson Sands: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cole Sands has limited playing time.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rays are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.

The Rays are 15-84 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

The Rays are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

The Rays are 28-16 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Twins are 25-2 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Twins are 15-13 (.536) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.

The Twins are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

The Twins are 30-10 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Rays have scored 1.87 runs per game (407/218) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.

The Rays have scored 360 runs in late innings since the start of last season — most in MLB.

Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,213 of their 3,644 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Rays hitters have 663 strikeouts in 2,759 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins hitters are slugging .589 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,616 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .744 (2,292 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

Twins hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 532 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,522 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 585 of 8,182 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (1045.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH since the start of last season (5,641 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8

Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.