- The Rays (34-25) are -115 favorites vs the Twins (35-26)
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (2-2), 1.624 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bryson Sands (0-2), 8.486 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-105) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Rays vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 34-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 28-33 ATS.
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -115 | -115 |
| Twins | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -105 | -105 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 65.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+9.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.55 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+18.15 Units / 103% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 76% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 91% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 away games (+5.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 games (+4.05 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 59 games (+14.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 27 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games (+12.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 28-31 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -1.27% ROI).
- 34-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.87% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -8.31% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.53% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 28-33 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -7.5% ROI).
- 35-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 9.11% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 1.35% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.3 Units / -9.26% ROI
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .284 (23/81) against Jeffrey Springs on sliders since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .141 — second Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 50% (25 SO in 50 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of last season — tied for 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 97th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (443/999) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 14% — 94th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has struck out 34% (81/242) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 91st Percentile.
Bryson Sands: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cole Sands has limited playing time.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 14-5 (.737) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
The Rays are 15-84 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Rays are just 4-13 (.235) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Rays are 28-16 (.636) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are 25-2 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Twins are 15-13 (.536) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Twins are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Twins are 30-10 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have scored 1.87 runs per game (407/218) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.
The Rays have scored 360 runs in late innings since the start of last season — most in MLB.
Rays hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,213 of their 3,644 plate appearances (33%) versus relief pitchers since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Rays hitters have 663 strikeouts in 2,759 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .589 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,616 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .744 (2,292 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Twins hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 532 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,522 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 585 of 8,182 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.90 (1045.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH since the start of last season (5,641 balls in play) — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
- Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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