- The Twins are -140 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Watch the game on BSN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-140) on Tuesday, September 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rays vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 89-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 71-73 ATS.
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -110 | +115 |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -110 | -140 |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 57.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+9.35 Units / 117% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 13 away games (+8.65 Units / 67% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 18 away games (+8.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Tyler Glasnow has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+16.35 Units / 40% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 34% ROI)
Twins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Royce Lewis | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Twins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Taylor Walls | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Twins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Joe Ryan | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 82 of their last 145 games (+10.49 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 145 games (+10.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 77 of their last 141 games (+10.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.03 Units / 66% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 78-67 against the Run Line (+13 Units / 7.53% ROI).
- 89-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 4.43% ROI
- 78-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.8 Units / 5.48% ROI
- 63-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.8 Units / -13.74% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 71-73 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -1.25% ROI).
- 75-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -6.98% ROI
- 71-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -2.65% ROI
- 68-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -5.59% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Littell has walked 8 of 286 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .505 (139 Total Bases / 275 ABs) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .363 — third Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 22 of 488 batters (4%) since last season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Littell has allowed a slugging percentage of .458 (210 Total Bases / 459 ABs) since last season — tied for 7th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .364 — fourth Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 55% of Joe Ryan’s pitches (1,279/2,315) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% (752/1,506) against Joe Ryan in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 70% (770/1,103) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (240/774) against Joe Ryan since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 15-5 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 16-23 (.410) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Rays are 67-3 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are just 4-9 (.308) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 26-41 (.388) after a road win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Twins are 61-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .287 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays hitters have 149 strikeouts in 441 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .778 (5,497 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,761 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,479 strikeouts in 5,502 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have 1,124 strikeouts in 4,106 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have 355 strikeouts in 1,396 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have 17 strikeouts in 43 PA’s (40%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 781 of 11,271 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 173 of 2,734 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,217 of 17,269 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have walked 403 of 5,372 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 84 of 1,294 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Michael A. Taylor (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Foot, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jason Adam (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hand, D10
- Isaac Paredes (Rays): Hand, Day-to-Day
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