- The – are favorites vs the –
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Twins starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, September 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Rays vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 89-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 71-74 ATS.
Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+11.20 Units / 124% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 45 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 54% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Twins vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Osleivis Basabe | 0.5 +1200 | 0.5 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Osleivis Basabe | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -110 |
Twins vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Osleivis Basabe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Twins vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Taj Bradley | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
| Dallas Keuchel | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +120 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 26 games (+15.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 82 of their last 146 games (+9.24 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 89 of their last 146 games (+9.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 49 away games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.03 Units / 68% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 54 games (+10.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+9.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 79-67 against the Run Line (+14 Units / 8.03% ROI).
- 89-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 3.98% ROI
- 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.7 Units / 4.77% ROI
- 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.8 Units / -13.02% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 71-74 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -1.81% ROI).
- 76-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -6.44% ROI
- 71-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.35 Units / -3.31% ROI
- 69-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.8 Units / -4.92% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (10/58) against Taj Bradley when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (70/235) against Taj Bradley this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (39/114) against Taj Bradley this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Taj Bradley has struck out 34% (66/197) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dallas Keuchel has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (1,129/1,785) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Dallas Keuchel has an ERA of 6.18 (249.0 IP)since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 4.00 — 0 Percentile.
Dallas Keuchel has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (439/810) of opposing batters since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Dallas Keuchel has a strikeout rate of just 14% (154 SO in 1,135 PAs) since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rays are 15-5 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 16-23 (.410) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Rays are just 10-23 (.303) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rays are 33-3 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Twins are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 61-1 (.984) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Twins are 30-9 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Twins are just 26-41 (.388) after a road win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .448 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .332 (4,390 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .287 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .780 (4,390 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,133 strikeouts in 4,138 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .238 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Twins hitters have 355 strikeouts in 1,396 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins hitters are slugging just .247 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 173 of 2,742 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 399 of 5,373 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 783 of 11,303 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,219 of 17,301 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have walked 405 of 5,406 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Michael A. Taylor (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Foot, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jason Adam (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Forearm, D60
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Elbow, D10
- Jose Siri (Rays): Hand, D10
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