• The Rays are -125 favorites vs the White Sox
• Rays vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Rays / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | RATV

The Tampa Bay Rays (-125) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+105) on April 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Rays are 10-7 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-11 ATS.

Rays vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Rays starting pitcher: Steven Matz 3-0, 3.94 ERA
• White Sox starting pitcher: Jordan Leasure 1-0, 4.00 ERA

Rays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Rays vs White Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 43% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 42% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 30% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+8.15 Units / 91% ROI)
• Jonny Deluca has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Everson Pereira has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+14.50 Units / 161% ROI)
• Chase Meidroth has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• Chase Meidroth has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Miguel Vargas has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• Colson Montgomery has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 away games (+10.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 away games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.95 Units / 55% ROI)

White Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 45 games at home (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 10-7 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 11.31% ROI).

• 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 16.19% ROI
• 12-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.7 Units / 46.77% ROI
• 3-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units / -55.05% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 7-11 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -36.49% ROI).

• 6-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -19.34% ROI
• 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 15.83% ROI
• 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -26.14% ROI

White Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

White Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rays are 8-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Rays are 7-2 (.778) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Rays are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Rays are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The White Sox are just 66-168 (.282) after a loss since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

The White Sox are just 11-104 (.096) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

The White Sox are just 85-39 (.685) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The White Sox are just 91-24 (.791) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have put 43% of their swings in play in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have put 42% of their swings in play this season — highest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 35% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

White Sox hitters are slugging just .287 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .216 against RHP this month (13 games) — lowest in MLB.

The White Sox won only 33% of their road games in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

The White Sox have won just 15% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2024 season — lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 10% of batters since the 2024 season — highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 14% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 9% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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