- The Rays are -165 favorites vs the White Sox
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Tampa Bay Rays (-165) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+135) on Thursday, April 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Rays vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 20-5 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 10-15 ATS.
Rays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +110 | O 7 +100 | -165 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -135 | U 7 -120 | +135 |
Rays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 64.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 away games (+8.45 Units / 141% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
White Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
White Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Dylan Cease | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.85 Units / 19% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 17-8 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 34.9% ROI).
- 20-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.3 Units / 28.15% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 10.77% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -20.47% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 10-15 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -22.75% ROI).
- 7-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.05 Units / -42.96% ROI
- 12-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 4.19% ROI
- 10-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -11.78% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 41% (101/247) against Shane McClanahan this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (69/147) against Shane McClanahan in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 42% (89/213) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has a strikeout rate of 52% (16 SO in 31 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .120 (6-for-50) against Dylan Cease this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .173 (68-for-394) against Dylan Cease since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 98th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (392/777) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 10 of 63 left-handed batters (16%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 10th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The Rays are 4-2 (.667) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Rays are 4-4 (.500) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The White Sox are just 4-3 (.571) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The White Sox are just 5-3 (.625) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The White Sox are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.
The White Sox are just 1-7 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .978 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Rays hitters are slugging .554 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rays hitters are slugging .509 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .858 (952 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 318 walks in 5,503 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 43 walks in 723 PA’s (6%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .346 (129 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .654.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 461 of 6,828 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.75 (222.2 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Rays pitchers have walked 96 of 1,666 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays have allowed 0.64 runs per game (16/25) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 112 of 993 batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .311 against White Sox pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 645 of 7,138 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Quad, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Lat, D15
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