- The Rays are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Clevinger
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Tampa Bay Rays (-190) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+160) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rays vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 23-5 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 11-17 ATS.
Rays vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 -120 | O 9 -120 | -190 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +100 | U 9 +100 | +160 |
Rays vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 60.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in his last 8 away games (+11.65 Units / 146% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 away games (+8.55 Units / 97% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+13.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
White Sox vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
White Sox vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
White Sox vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Mike Clevinger | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 28 games (+16.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.45 Units / 59% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 19-9 against the Run Line (+11.25 Units / 35.38% ROI).
- 23-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.3 Units / 31.5% ROI
- 15-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 12.56% ROI
- 10-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -22.29% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 11-17 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -24.73% ROI).
- 7-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.05 Units / -48.47% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 6.68% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -14.54% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (4/43) against Drew Rasmussen with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (79/109) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 97th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has walked 5 of 23 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — fourth Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has a strike rate of 70% (288/414) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .200 (12-for-60) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 3% (1/36) against Mike Clevinger when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Mike Clevinger has a strike rate of just 55% (73/133) in two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (2/29) against Mike Clevinger on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 0 Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Rays are 5-2 (.714) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Rays are 5-4 (.556) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Rays are 2-5 (.286) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The White Sox are just 4-4 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The White Sox are just 1-5 (.167) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The White Sox are just 5-4 (.556) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The White Sox are just 9-73 (.110) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of .925 (245 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Rays hitters are slugging .562 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .872 (1,079 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rays hitters are slugging .641 on fastballs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting just .152 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
White Sox hitters have drawn 324 walks in 5,584 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 44 walks in 889 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have 114 extra-base hits out of 363 total hits (just 31%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have won 100% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have won 70% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Rays pitchers have walked 470 of 6,942 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 99 of 1,693 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have allowed 2.29 runs per game (64/28) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 121 of 1,120 batters (11%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.88 (243.1 IP) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.32.
White Sox vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Andrew Benintendi (White Sox): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Quad, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Luis Robert Jr. (White Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Yandy DÃaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
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