- The Rays are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rays starting pitcher: Zachary Eflin
- Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
- Watch the game on TBS
The Tampa Bay Rays (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 65-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-52 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -115 | -115 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -105 | -105 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 56.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+13.15 Units / 97% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Yandy Diaz | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Rodon | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Zach Eflin | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 away games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 59 of their last 109 games (+6.05 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+3.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 109 games (+2.80 Units / 2% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+12.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+4.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 57 games at home (+4.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 76 games (+3.55 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 56-53 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 1.34% ROI).
- 65-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 1.6% ROI
- 56-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.58% ROI
- 49-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -10.3% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 54-52 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI).
- 55-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.25 Units / -2.99% ROI
- 47-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.3 Units / -11.48% ROI
- 55-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.42% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin allowed a batting average of .273 vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth worst)– 14th Percentile and just .194 vs left-handed batters this season (fourth best among qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .221 (226 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed three-ball counts to 10% of batters they faced (48/460 PA’s) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin’s K:BB ratio is 7.1 (57/8) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.7 — 98th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .317 (230 Total Bases / 725 ABs) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 99th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .230 (61 Total Bases / 265 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .373 — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has thrown elevated pitches 52% of the time (414/801) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of just .407 (107 Total Bases / 263 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .560 — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Rays are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Rays are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Rays are 23-10 (.697) after a home win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 36-36 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Yankees are 88-49 (.642) at home since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Yankees are 28-57 (.329) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays have a winning percentage of 66% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rays hitters are slugging .515 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Rays hitters have an OBP of just .245 (98 PA’s) against LHP over the last 30 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,332 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 870 of their 3,882 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 244 walks in 2,349 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .234 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Yankees are batting just .214 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 707 of 9,937 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 153 of 2,408 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,143 of 15,935 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 37% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Knee, D10
- Zachary Eflin (Rays): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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