Rays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 16

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 16, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Yankees (72-44) are -160 favorites vs the Rays (61-53)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (4-3), 2.56 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (9-3), 2.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Tampa Bay Rays (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Tuesday, August 16, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 61-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-64 ATS.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays+1.5 -155O 7 -110+135
Yankees -1.5 +125U 7 -110-160

Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+15.55 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+12.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 58 games at home (+16.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.45 Units / 63% ROI)

Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Jose Trevino 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Jose Trevino 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Jose Trevino 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeffrey Springs 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Nestor Cortes 5.5 -165 5.5 +120
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 37 away games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 47 games (+5.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 51 games at home (+11.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.75 Units / 56% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 54-60 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -4.62% ROI).

  • 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -5.07% ROI
  • 51-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 56-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.62% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 52-64 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -10.36% ROI).

  • 72-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.05% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -5.46% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -3.45% ROI

Jeffrey Springs has a strikeout rate of 49% (43 SO in 88 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away since the start of 2020 — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (255/709) against Jeffrey Springs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 49% (131/268) against Jeffrey Springs with two-strikes this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed a slugging percentage of .486 (86 Total Bases / 177 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the start of 2020 — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .366 — fifth Percentile.

Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

17 of Nestor Cortes’ 51 breaking pitch strikeouts (33%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (455/841) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 55% of the time (692/1,249) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 62% of the time (201/322) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rays are just 50-7 (.877) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Rays are 11-9 (.550) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are 39-6 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.

The Rays are 35-22 (.614) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Yankees are 8-27 (.229) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.

The Yankees are 6-34 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Yankees are 41-16 (.719) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Yankees are 43-11 (.796) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Rays have scored 1.71 runs per game (468/273) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.43.

Rays hitters have 798 strikeouts in 3,244 PA’s (25%) against RHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters are slugging just .375 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Rays hitters have grounded into 138 double plays in 1,851 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .755 (3,263 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

The Yankees have scored 193 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.241 (816 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.061.

Rays pitchers have walked 708 of 10,190 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 185 of 3,009 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 272 of 4,192 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 54 of 1,019 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Yankees pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 53% of the time at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, Day-to-Day
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.