- The Yankees (72-45) are -140 favorites vs the Rays (62-53)
- Rays starting pitcher: Corey Kluber (7-7), 4.39 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (1-2), 4.18 ERA
- Watch the game on YES
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-140) on Wednesday, August 17, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 62-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-65 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -140 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+16.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+13.15 Units / 72% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.15 Units / 60% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 42 of his last 59 games at home (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 78% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+13.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 33 games at home (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -165 |
| Corey Kluber | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 away games (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.35 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.10 Units / 57% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 52 games at home (+9.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 55-60 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -3.86% ROI).
- 62-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -4.11% ROI
- 51-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.05 Units / -8.05% ROI
- 57-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.15% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 52-65 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -11.02% ROI).
- 72-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -0.72% ROI
- 55-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -6.23% ROI
- 57-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -2.64% ROI
Corey Kluber: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corey Kluber has walked 17 of 488 batters (4%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has walked 9 of 254 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 96th Percentile.
Corey Kluber has allowed a slugging percentage of .545 (55 Total Bases / 101 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — fifth Percentile.
Corey Kluber has a strike rate of 69% (1,200/1,739) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Domingo Germán: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has a strikeout rate of just 22% (8 SO in 36 PAs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Domingo German has struck out just 6% (2/36) of left-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed an OPS of .799 (36 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .494 — fourth Percentile.
Domingo German has allowed a slugging percentage of .438 (14 Total Bases / 32 ABs) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — seventh Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 11-9 (.550) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 26-7 (.788) when scoring in the first inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
The Rays are 39-6 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are just 51-7 (.879) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 8-28 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 43-11 (.796) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Yankees are 13-9 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 41-17 (.707) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 20 double plays in 348 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,300 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Rays hitters have 785 strikeouts in 3,221 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have drawn 215 walks in 1,790 PA’s (12%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees have scored 193 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Yankees hitters are slugging .553 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 709 of 10,222 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 54 of 1,028 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays pitchers have walked 185 of 3,018 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Yankees pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 65 of 1,054 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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