- The Rays are -105 favorites vs the Yankees
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan
- Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
- Watch the game on Amazon Prime Video
The Tampa Bay Rays (-105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-115) on Wednesday, August 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Rays vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rays are 66-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-53 ATS.
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -115 | -105 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -105 | -115 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.15 Units / 84% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 away games (+12.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Luke Raley has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+10.35 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.25 Units / 42% ROI)
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yandy Diaz | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gerrit Cole | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +100 |
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -155 |
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 away games (+10.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 60 of their last 110 games (+7.05 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 110 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 54 games at home (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 58 games at home (+3.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 77 games (+1.90 Units / 2% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 57-53 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.48% ROI).
- 66-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 2.16% ROI
- 56-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 0.7% ROI
- 50-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.3 Units / -9.37% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 54-53 against the Run Line (-1.75 Units / -1.31% ROI).
- 55-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -3.71% ROI
- 47-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -12.27% ROI
- 56-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.85 Units / 3.24% ROI
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 55% (130/238) against Shane McClanahan on changeups this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (300/897) against Shane McClanahan this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has thrown off-speed pitches 62% of the time (2,596/4,202) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Shane McClanahan has thrown his changeup 31% of the time (440/1,413) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
56% of Gerrit Cole’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .224 (98 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 98th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has an ERA of 2.64 (136.1 IP)this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.95 — 98th Percentile.
Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .574 (279 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 — 93rd Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 31-8 (.795) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are just 10-21 (.323) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Rays are 53-2 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 28-58 (.326) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Yankees are 36-36 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Yankees are 35-10 (.778) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .459 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .783 (778 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Rays have scored first in 63% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 60% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .210 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .297 (2,038 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 876 of their 3,915 plate appearances (22%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 153 of 2,417 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 707 of 9,970 batters (7%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees have allowed 1.05 runs per game (112/107) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .190 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Yankees pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Yankees vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D60
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Oblique, D10
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Knee, D10
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Elbow, D60
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