- The Yankees are -130 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Yankees TV Channel: YES | FSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+110) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-130) on Monday, July 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY, NY.
This season, the Rays are 53-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 48-57 ATS.
Rays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 7-5, 2.93 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Cam Schlittler 1-0, 4.36 ERA
Rays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -102 | +110 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -118 | -130 |
Rays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+14.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+10.60 Units / 118% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Junior Caminero has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+18.10 Units / 226% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 90 games (+15.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 89 games (+14.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 away games (+10.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 41 away games (+5.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 away games (+5.50 Units / 89% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+12.52 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 28 of their last 52 games at home (+4.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 48-56 against the Run Line (-8.8 Units / -6.65% ROI).
- 53-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.17 Units / -5.39% ROI
- 42-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.3 Units / -20.69% ROI
- 60-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.4 Units / 12.43% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 48-57 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -8.63% ROI).
- 57-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -9.74% ROI
- 47-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -9.99% ROI
- 54-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.32 Units / 1.99% ROI
Yankees vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ryan McMahon (NYY) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Yankees vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Mangum (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (NYY) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ben Rice (NYY) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Yankees vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler (NYY) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Drew Rasmussen (TB) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (621/1,464) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (158/323) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (428/820) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 52% of the time (558/1,082) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cam Schlittler has a strike rate of 70% (115/165) this month (2 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Cam Schlittler has thrown 60% of his pitches in the strike zone (99/165) this month (2 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 99th Percentile.
Cam Schlittler has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 76% (25/33) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 95th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Rays are 4-42 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 18-107 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rays are 114-3 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Rays are 16-169 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Yankees are 62-34 (.646) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Rays (Ranks 10th runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 25-13 (.658) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rays (Ranks 10th runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 70-24 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays are batting .184 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Rays hitters are slugging just .381 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Rays hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .279 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn walks in 12% of their PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .790 (1,117 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Yankees hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 44% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 86 double plays in 676 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Rays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 11% of batters over the last 14 days — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Yankees pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 41% of the time over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
More MLB Reading:
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